Live AI release markets
Release radar
A self-updating 14-day view of model-release contracts discovered from Polymarket's AI Releases tag and broader AI feed. The window rolls forward every Sunday, and live odds refresh every minute Sunday and weekdays. Candidates are not preselected. If fewer than five distinct model families qualify inside the window, the nearest later qualified release markets fill the remaining rows.
This view prioritizes qualified live signals inside the rolling 14-day window. If fewer than five distinct model families qualify there, the nearest later qualified release markets fill the remaining rows. Live odds refresh every minute Sunday and weekdays.
How to read the radar
A percentage is the midpoint of the market's current Yes bid and ask for the linked “released by” question, unless it is explicitly labelled as an indicative one-sided price. A market date estimate is an explicitly labelled interpolation of several compatible cutoff markets—not a promised date, a ModelCap prediction, or a recommendation to trade. The page omits undated rumors, stale quotes, and unrelated AI markets.