Live Polymarket feed
AI prediction markets
Every active event carrying Polymarket's official AI tag, organized into releases, rankings, companies, policy and safety. Search the complete live category or open any event to inspect its exact resolution rules.
Active AI markets
56
Combined 24h volume
$854K
Live feed
07:02 UTC
56 markets
View on Polymarket- Model releasesCloses 1 Oct 2026
Next Claude Opus released on...?
81%Leading outcome
September 22
$233K 24h volume$132K liquidity10 outcomes - CompaniesCloses 1 Jan 2027
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
89%Leading outcome
↑$1.5T
$129K 24h volume$370K liquidity10 outcomes - CompaniesCloses 1 Jul 2027
Anthropic lab leak by...?
7%Leading outcome
June 30, 2027
$75K 24h volume$190K liquidity2 outcomes - AI rankingsCloses 1 Oct 2026
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
99%Leading outcome
Anthropic
$66K 24h volume$1.5M liquidity21 outcomes - AI rankingsCloses 1 Jan 2027
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
71%Leading outcome
Anthropic
$44K 24h volume$1000K liquidity15 outcomes - Model releasesCloses 1 Jan 2027
Next Claude Opus released by...?
99%Leading outcome
October 31
$39K 24h volume$26K liquidity7 outcomes - OtherCloses 1 Jan 2028
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
82%Leading outcome
December 31, 2027
$24K 24h volume$37K liquidity3 outcomes - AI rankingsCloses 30 Sept 2026
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
89%Leading outcome
Alibaba
$21K 24h volume$105K liquidity11 outcomes - CompaniesCloses 31 Dec 2026
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
24%Leading outcome
$2.0–$2.25T
$16K 24h volume$182K liquidity10 outcomes - AI rankingsCloses 30 Sept 2026
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?
68%Leading outcome
OpenAI
$11K 24h volume$48K liquidity16 outcomes - Policy & safetyCloses 8 Oct 2026
Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?
98%Leading outcome
Elon Musk
$10K 24h volume$55K liquidity10 outcomes - OtherCloses 1 Jan 2027
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
47%Leading outcome
0
$10K 24h volume$65K liquidity6 outcomes - OtherCloses 1 Oct 2026
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?
76%Leading outcome
5-7
$8K 24h volume$9K liquidity5 outcomes - Policy & safetyCloses 1 Jan 2027
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
8%Leading outcome
Yes
$7K 24h volume$25K liquidity1 outcome - Model releasesCloses 1 Jan 2027
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
74%Leading outcome
1500+
$7K 24h volume$13K liquidity5 outcomes - Model releasesCloses 30 Jun 2027
Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?
68%Leading outcome
1450+
$7K 24h volume$6K liquidity4 outcomes - OtherCloses 1 Jan 2028
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
66%Leading outcome
Hodge Conjecture
$7K 24h volume$22K liquidity6 outcomes - Policy & safetyCloses 1 Jan 2027
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
7%Leading outcome
Yes
$6K 24h volume$43K liquidity1 outcome - CompaniesCloses 1 Jan 2027
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
26%Leading outcome
MGM Resorts
$6K 24h volume$113K liquidity14 outcomes - OtherCloses 1 Jan 2027
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
16%Leading outcome
December 31, 2026
$6K 24h volume$3K liquidity2 outcomes - Model releasesCloses 1 Nov 2026
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
39%Leading outcome
October 12–October 18
$6K 24h volume$14K liquidity7 outcomes - Policy & safetyCloses 1 Nov 2026
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
37%Leading outcome
Google
$5K 24h volume$65K liquidity13 outcomes - Model releasesCloses 1 Dec 2026
Gemini 4.0 released by...?
94%Leading outcome
November 30
$5K 24h volume$92K liquidity3 outcomes - AI rankingsCloses 1 Nov 2026
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
89%Leading outcome
Anthropic
$5K 24h volume$467K liquidity21 outcomes
Prices are crowd-implied probabilities from Polymarket, not ModelCap forecasts or publisher guidance. Event links contain the governing resolution rules.