Estimated

publisher-corpus-prior over 215 held-out anchors (10%); launch card against 4 resolved peers on 4 rows (90%); exceeds every named peer on 1 of 4 rows; no cross-lab optimism probe available; shrunk 0.2 up toward the measured corpus

Measured

publisher-corpus-prior over 215 held-out anchors (63%); 1 specialist-board observation at 1.2% support (37%); shrunk 24.9 up toward the measured corpus