Measured

publisher-corpus-prior over 187 held-out anchors (61%); 1 specialist-board observation at 2.1% support (39%); shrunk 21.7 up toward the measured corpus

Estimated

global-corpus-prior over 187 held-out anchors (19%); launch card against 2 resolved peers on 11 rows (81%); exceeds every named peer on 7 of 11 rows; optimism haircut 0.14 from cross-lab-probe; shrunk 4 up toward the measured corpus