Measured

publisher-corpus-prior over 183 held-out anchors (36%); 1 specialist-board observation at 1.3% support (21%); launch card against 2 resolved peers on 12 rows (44%); exceeds every named peer on 6 of 12 rows; optimism haircut 0 from cross-lab-probe; shrunk 7.8 up toward the measured corpus

Estimated

global-corpus-prior over 183 held-out anchors (6%); launch card against 6 resolved peers on 5 rows (94%); optimism haircut 0 from cross-lab-probe; shrunk 1.7 toward the measured corpus