Estimated

global-corpus-prior over 186 held-out anchors (12%); launch card against 4 resolved peers on 3 rows (88%); exceeds every named peer on 1 of 3 rows; optimism haircut 0.15 from cross-lab-probe; shrunk 1.1 toward the measured corpus

Measured

publisher-corpus-prior over 186 held-out anchors (61%); 1 specialist-board observation at 2.1% support (39%); shrunk 14.5 toward the measured corpus