Estimated

global-corpus-prior over 185 held-out anchors (12%); launch card against 2 resolved peers on 3 rows (88%); exceeds every named peer on 1 of 3 rows; no cross-lab optimism probe available; shrunk 3.1 toward the measured corpus

Measured

publisher-corpus-prior over 185 held-out anchors (37%); 1 specialist-board observation at 1.3% support (21%); launch card against 2 resolved peers on 12 rows (43%); exceeds every named peer on 6 of 12 rows; optimism haircut 0 from cross-lab-probe; shrunk 8 up toward the measured corpus